>>457254>Ukraine has more soldiers and unlimited funds from US and NATO allies
Ukraine has a much smaller population than Russia, and hence also a much smaller pool of fighters.
Ukraine also had extremely high losses, while Russian losses are low. One of the reasons Russian losses are so low is because they don't trade soldiers for territory, they retreat and regroup if they get outmaneuvered, even at the cost of some moral and propaganda defeats. The retarded Ukrainian leadership that has sacrificed probably many tens of thousands of soldiers holding the line in some irrelevant town for the sole purpose of maintaining appearances. The Ukrainians put political logic above military logic and because of that they have dwindling forces.
The Russian military isn't actually using many Russian Infantry soldiers, most of the infantry that is fighting on the Russian side are actually Don-bass militias from Luhansk and Donestk Republics. So as far as the infantry losses are concerned it's mostly Ukrainians and former Ukrainians. The Russian soldiers are operating the heavy machinery like Artillery and Jet-planes, and only on few occasions are actual Russian infantry on the front-lines.
Ukraine is running a deficit of 7 billion a month and they only get about 1 billion from the west. Europe is basically bankrupting it self upholding this. It has major inflation going on and it can't find alternatives to Russian energy supplies, that makes the continuation of the sanction suicide. Europe might have to shutter it's industries, and suffer a de-industrialization spiral, that will crash both EU and US markets.
The sanctions are doing not nearly as much damage to the Russian economy as it was claimed. The Russian Auto-industry is lacking parts for cars and some American consumer products couldn't be replaced, however prices for goods and services in general are falling in Russia. The exchange prices for Oil and gas in international markets have been going up, and for Russia this war pays for it self in financial terms. They pay in blood but not in treasure, and if the Russian losses are as low as they seem to be, they are not paying much blood for this either. The projections are that Russia will only have a 2% GDP contraction, which is extraordinary low for a country at war.
NATO also has been decreasing it's weapons shipments because expendable stock-piles are running low. NATO has now changed tactics and is training regular Ukrainians to fight. You can't expect regular civilians to become proficient soldiers within a few weeks or months of training. They are conscripting people that are 60 years old now. Can you imagine how desperate the situation has become when you do a geriatric volksturm.
>I do think Russia has already lost>This war may already be over
I'm assuming that you are thinking this because you are somebody who got swept up into NATO propaganda sphere and drank the coolaid.
Russia has retreated troops from Izyum region, and the Ukrainians have regained some terriroty about 2000km² out of 120000km" they lost sofar in this war. That region they recaptured is mostly just towns and empty fields. The reason the Ukrainians won this, is because the Russians wanted to preserve their troops rather than stand their ground. And the advance of the Ukrainians has already ground to a hold. You are delusional to think any of this represents a turn in the war. While this offensive had relatively low significance in military terms it did however succeed in putting a enormous political pressure on Moscow. Which lead to the Russian military getting some of it's combat restrictions lifted. The most impactful is that the Russian military is now allowed to damage Ukrainian infrastructure. Ukraine is now suffering massive electricity blackouts.
What is perhaps the most regretful outcome of this is that the Ukrainians like local politicians and functionaries that worked with the Russians to do stuff like distribute food-rations now face reprisals from the returning Ukrainian forces. If the Ukrainians kill those people, the NATO propaganda horn is going to spin this as Russian atrocities. So if you hear that maybe consider the possibility.
>Too many boys are dying on both sides, and there is no reason for it.
Officially Ukraine is making the end of fighting conditional on Ukraine's boarder going back to pre 2014. That is a maximal demand, the only thing more unrealistic they could demand is an unconditional surrender. Unofficially Ukraine is a US proxy-war-pawn and it's not making decisions for it self, and we should consider interpreting to what extend these are imperial decrees from Washington and maybe Brussels (although Europe seems more like an US colony these days)
Realistically speaking Ukraine could do a partial surrender and give up some territories, and recognize those new republics that have formed. At the moment the Russians are busy rejiggering their troops, before they resume their slowly grinding but relentless onslaught. So there is a window of opportunity for about a week or 2 to negotiate on more favorable terms. I wonder if the imperial bourgeoisie and what's left of the Ukrainian one can swallow some pride and end this disaster before it turns into an even bigger one. Not just for the sake of Ukrainians but also for the EU and US economies and better food security for the global south.
Consider that even right wing neo-liberal ghouls like Henry Kissinger can see the need for diplomacy, and maybe it's time to reconsider if you hold a position that is further to the right than that guy.
At the moment Russia has only mobilized 180k troops (of 1.3 million trained military) and about 10-15% of it's overall force projection capacity. But the voices for full scale mobilization are getting louder in Russia, if those prevail, and the Russians go all in, the most likely outcome will be that Ukraine ceases to be a country.
There is perhaps some irony in the fact that the largest Russian communist party is supporting full mobilization while Putin, who is no doubt a capitalist, is the one putting the breaks on that. But it is understandable that Russian communists would see Ukraine as nothing more than occupied Soviet territory. Like any good socialist I too morn the fall of the Soviet Union, but perhaps this is not the best way to bring it back.