If you look at numbers for long enough you find correlations based on nothing in particular. None of this is real though. The motives for war throughout history are simple: those who instigate them risk nothing, because all costs for the war are borne by the oppressed. It's a win-win for the instigators, and so they will do so whenever they can mobilize an army that presents a serious threat. The soldiers are paid, and the performance of war deters most invasions by pre-empting them.
There is never any serious "elite infighting". The chief purpose of war is to exhaust the lives and resources of the general public, so that they may be kept in a state of despair and the existence of large, centralized state is made "necessary". If not for this, then people of all nations, regardless of their past, will look at their situation, look to each other, and see that nothing will ever be accomplished by these wars except the aggrandizement of people who should not be encouraged. There would, at the least, be a declaration of universal peace and severe punishment of all instigators and transgressors who create these things. In the long term, the peoples involved, whatever the nature of their polities, will see a global authority as the best outcome. These peoples will never be "one state" or "one nation", or one thing managed in the manner of a city-state or any state we have yet known; but for all intents and purposes, the policy of these entities would be set in accord with the needs of the global apparatus, because the value of maintaining that peace would be far greater than any ambition of one of the polities to dominate the others. The regime of "Plan War" throughout history accomplishes the same ends, but keeps the people exhausted with an ever-present fear of invasion. The world of peace relies on good will and trust to not ruin what would be a clearly beneficial condition for all of the polities involved. The world of war is functionally the world of peace for the aristocracy; by instigating these wars, with whatever excuses are needed to produce them, the aristocracy secures its own existence, which was always reliant on incessant instigation and setting the other orders of society against each other.
If you see history as aristocracy designed it, then of course all of the actions of that aristocracy are naturalized. They are at once wholly Nature (and "above Nature", a higher nature than the actual nature we know), and are the sole exempt
Post too long. Click here to view the full text.