So a bunch of trucks with tricked-out containers were driven into Russia, where they launched a drone attack on Russian military airports. They damaged a few planes. They also killed a bunch of civilians that crossed a bridge while it was being attacked.
It kinda reminds me of the beeper terror attack that was carried out by the mossad terror organization where they blew up children in Lebanon. It's similar in the sense that it represents weaponizing a part of the civilian supply chain. A weapon disguised as civilian cargo trucks or a weapon disguised as an electronic gadget.
This has been attributed to Ukraine, but there are strong suspicions the US was behind it. Since many of the planes that were targeted was part of Russias nuclear triad, it looked like attempt of destabilizing the balance of terror from nuclear weapons, and could be interpreted as a preamble to a full scale nuclear war. (whether nuclear bombers are still relevant as part of a strategic deterrent is questionable given the advances in air defenses, but I'll put that aspect to the side)
Obviously if the US did this, they didn't seem to have considered that Russia could apply the same tactic to attack US warplanes. Many are stationed on the 800+ US military bases around the world. Arguably those are even more vulnerable.
It seems very reckless while at the same time not really changing the dynamic of the Ukraine war.
The Russians seam to have ditched tit-for-tat game-theory logic for rational outcome-maximization logic some time ago. So it's unclear whether they will retaliate, it might take a while, because R.O.M. suggests delaying retaliations until it can be aligned with the desired outcome.
There also is the question whether the planes that were struck weren't just decoys made from decommissioned planes, since those planes were stationed outside of protective hangars in order to allow for cold-war arms-controle via satellite. Since most of the cold war arms controle treaties were dissolved by the US, this could make some sense.
Many people think this was done in order to bootstrap WW3. I sometimes wonder whether the nuclear-war-crazies are actually the same species as us, because from an evolutionary perspective a desire to eradicate your own species seems rather implausible.
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