NATO will loose the proxy war in Ukraine.
15% chance for a diplomatic settlement, that will let the west safe face and pretend to have won, but in reality make heavy concessions to the Russians. Ukrainian rump state remains. The western media will decouple from reality entirely and declare that all of Ukraine was liberated. Western Social media will become mostly bots, stuff like facebook and twitter will become a ghost-town where inactive user accounts will be taken over by bots as well.
80% Chance diplomacy remains cock-blocked, and Russia will completely grind down what remains of the Ukrainian military and state. Ukraine as a country seizes to exist, except in name only.
5% Chance for escalation to full scale world war with nukes and mega-death. Space communists will exit subspace in earth orbit and uplift dolphins to full sapience and our dolphin-comrades will teach what's left of humanity how to communism
90% chance the US will try to kick off war in Taiwan, copying the "Ukraine-model"
98% chance the Chinese manage to snuff that out with a naval and air blockade around Taiwan. 50% chance the US will try to impose it's own naval blockade on China but it fails because it's loosing to many ships against Chinese boat-ramming tactics. 80% chance the US navy will respond to ramming with opening fire and promptly loose more ships to Chinese anti-ship missile mayhem. A defeated US navy returns home and during that phase revolutionary potential becomes very high because the US forces question the US ruling class's ability to lead. 3% chance the disorganized US socialists take advantage and create the USSA, that includes Mexico and Canada.
20% chance India and Pakistan will be forced to end their conflict over Kashmir because food shortages in global markets empower the Kashmir peasant class that manages to gain political power and declare independence, and successfully play India and Pakistan against each other, they will work together with the DPRK and Iran to create their own nuclear deterrent.
60% chance Ireland will gain independence during the comming economic turmoil in the UK.
80% Chance that Syria will regain control over the territories that the US and others are occupying, as attention and resources are redirected to other more pressiPost too long. Click here to view the full text.