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File: 1608528180821.jpg ( 59.43 KB , 800x450 , maxresdefault.jpg )

 No.2404 [Reply]

The late 2010's and early 2020's upheavals were predicted 10 years ago by a relatively simple model that accounts for elite infighting, income inequality, number of 18-29 y.o. people, etc. The same analysis was retroactively applied to many civil wars and revolutions throughout history and the results were pretty consistent: wars, revolutions and upheavals follow pretty deterministic patterns. The thing that's impossible to predict, is the trigger, the casus belli. In-depth paper in [1], 2020 prediction in [2].

On the other hand the rate of profit is falling (empirically proven in [3]), which makes the contradictions accelerate: median living conditions become increasingly unbearable, inequality between the working population and the elite skyrockets, etc. (coronavirus and climate change are just accelerating even further the process). The question is not if, but when, will capitalism collapse. Two options at that point: regression, the elite fights back and wins (fascism, neo-feudalism, apocalyptic-tier world wars, pick your poison) or progression, the working class fights back and wins (socialism, which means the long term construction of post-scarcity society i.e. communism).

[1]: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6qp8x28p
[2]: https://www.nature.com/articles/463608a
>Quantitative historical analysis reveals that complex human societies are affected by recurrent — and predictable — waves of political instability (P. Turchin and S. A. Nefedov Secular Cycles Princeton Univ. Press; 2009). In the United States, we have stagnating or declining real wages, a growing gap between rich and poor, overproduction of young graduates with advanced degrees, and exploding public debt. These seemingly disparate social indicators are actually related to each other dynamically. They all experienced turning points during the 1970s. Historically, such developments have served as leading indicators of looming political instability
>Very long 'secular cycles' interact with shorter-term processes. In the United States, 50-year instability spikes occurred around 1870, 1920 and 1970, so another could be due around 2020. We are also entering a dip in the so-called Kondratiev wave, which traces 40-60-year economic-growth cycles. ThPost too long. Click here to view the full text.
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 No.2469

>>2431
>It's pretty obvious that people just really, really hate living in cities
I disagree. People hate living in shitty cities.
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 No.7997

>number of 18-29 y.o. people

What did OP mean by this as a factor?
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 No.7998

>>2469
This.

There are cities that people love living in.
Also, if you think cities are bad, boonies are just as bad.
No amenities available, no sane people around for miles, only activities are drinking and shooting, etc.
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 No.7999

>>2427
>These were the role-less individuals who added a physical aspect to their social isolation. They were mostly male, and despite awful takes from smoothbrains, this too is related to social roles. It's an inescapable fact that the female role in reproduction is incomparably longer and more intense than the male one and thus the female population has a "reserve pool" of social roles, resulting in fewer of them becoming beautiful ones.

You’re assuming that women are all beautiful and/or remain attractive.
You’re forgetting that female elders often end up alone.
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 No.8014

If you look at numbers for long enough you find correlations based on nothing in particular. None of this is real though. The motives for war throughout history are simple: those who instigate them risk nothing, because all costs for the war are borne by the oppressed. It's a win-win for the instigators, and so they will do so whenever they can mobilize an army that presents a serious threat. The soldiers are paid, and the performance of war deters most invasions by pre-empting them.

There is never any serious "elite infighting". The chief purpose of war is to exhaust the lives and resources of the general public, so that they may be kept in a state of despair and the existence of large, centralized state is made "necessary". If not for this, then people of all nations, regardless of their past, will look at their situation, look to each other, and see that nothing will ever be accomplished by these wars except the aggrandizement of people who should not be encouraged. There would, at the least, be a declaration of universal peace and severe punishment of all instigators and transgressors who create these things. In the long term, the peoples involved, whatever the nature of their polities, will see a global authority as the best outcome. These peoples will never be "one state" or "one nation", or one thing managed in the manner of a city-state or any state we have yet known; but for all intents and purposes, the policy of these entities would be set in accord with the needs of the global apparatus, because the value of maintaining that peace would be far greater than any ambition of one of the polities to dominate the others. The regime of "Plan War" throughout history accomplishes the same ends, but keeps the people exhausted with an ever-present fear of invasion. The world of peace relies on good will and trust to not ruin what would be a clearly beneficial condition for all of the polities involved. The world of war is functionally the world of peace for the aristocracy; by instigating these wars, with whatever excuses are needed to produce them, the aristocracy secures its own existence, which was always reliant on incessant instigation and setting the other orders of society against each other.

If you see history as aristocracy designed it, then of course all of the actions of that aristocracy are naturalized. They are at once wholly Nature (and "above Nature", a higher nature than the actual nature we know), and are the sole exemptPost too long. Click here to view the full text.


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 No.5581 [Reply]

Most of the books I see about Pol Pot, Khmer Rouge and Kamdoji from those years portray these things as badly as possible, and compare Pol Pot himself to a mini Hitler, or worse. I would like to know if there is a book that justifies Pol Pot and speaks positively about him and the Khmer Rouge. Thank you in advance!
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 No.7284

>>7283
You realize that Cambodians don't even believe this, right?
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 No.7285

>>6114
Good take. I've been to Cambodia and seen the Tuol Sleng Genocide Museum in Phnom Penh (converted from a high school to a prison for political prisoners). It's pretty chilling.

But we do need to see these things as a chain of events rather than isolated actions. Indeed, the meddling US ruling class has a lot of responsibility. I'd say that China and the USSR also have some blame, using other nations as pawns, and perhaps precipitating such a brutal regime when it would not have been necessary. They rushed through it and as usually happens when you do that, they fucked up.

Despite best efforts to prevent the red menace from spreading, now nominally "Communist" Vietnam is a rising economic power. Visit sometime … Houses going up everywhere, and many people finally have enough money to leave if that's what they choose to do. I didn't get a sense from the people that the government was anything but something done to them rather than something they were part of, though, so I would guess it's another sham socialism, with maybe some elements to control the worst of capitalism…
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 No.7286

>>7285
>It's only real socialism when people stay poor
Lel
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 No.7291

>>7286
Not sure how that's what you drew from it.

It's not socialism if it's undemocratic. That's all. You can't force anyone to "do" socialism.
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 No.7983

hey fella,do you know where you are?
we don't talk about yellow uyghurs here.


File: 1754097810498.jpg ( 494.68 KB , 1024x522 , stalin.jpg )

 No.7982 [Reply]


Comrades:

The advance of communism is unstoppable.

We're talking about agriculture.

How do capitalists intend to overcome the planning of the socialist economy?

Capitalist decisions are based on short-term profit, destroying competition to achieve monopoly, and eradicating small farmers and ranchers so that the entire business remains in the hands of the four multinationals.

Thus, the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council have published the "Plan to Accelerate the Building of an Agricultural Power (2025-2035)," which states:

"The plan foresees that significant progress will be made in building a strong agricultural country by 2027. Significant progress has been made in the comprehensive revitalization of rural areas, and the modernization of agriculture and rural areas has reached a new level. By 2035, significant results will have been achieved in the comprehensive development of rural areas, and the modernization of agriculture will have been largely completed. By the middle of this century, China will become a strong agricultural country.

The plan proposes strengthening the foundation for food security in all aspects to ensure food self-sufficiency; promoting innovation in agricultural science and technological equipment in all fields to accelerate the achievement of a high level of scientific and technological independence; improving the modern agricultural management system; further deepening foreign agricultural cooperation to create new advantages in international agricultural competition; and promoting the construction of livable, attractive villages." for businesses and a high quality of life; promoting the integrated development of urban and rural areas in order to reduce the gap between them.”


File: 1699112207931-0.pdf ( 853.72 KB , 232x300 , 55f3bf0b-fc39-4a09-98a6-0f….pdf )

File: 1699112207931-1.jpeg ( 8.79 KB , 197x255 , images.jpeg )

 No.7419 [Reply]

Since most anons here seem clueless about what masculinity actually is, and only seem comfortable posturing about what it isn't, I thought I'd help you.

>The Way of Men

>By Jack Donovan

Read this and maybe (no promises) it will help exorcise the faggy zeitgeist from your skinnyfat body.

While most of you probably won't be able to handle this book (due to deeply engrain ego attachment to muhleftism), a small percentage might. This is for that latter minority.
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 No.7896

>>7881
This. Most discussions about masculinity often delve into the same cartoonish impression of "Conan The Barbarian" against some giants or fighting an epic war.


Gender roles were mainly just about who makes seed and who bleeds every month
All that "women are dainty and must be worshipped" is a modern invention made by Germanics.
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 No.7969

>>7419
>it will help exorcise the faggy zeitgeist
Didn't work for Jack Donovan lmao
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 No.7971

>>7969
This. Most of out machismo cultists are often found out to be fudgepackers
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 No.7972

>>7971
what is a 'fudgepacker' ?
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 No.7973

>>7972
If you have anal sex you are packing fudge so to speak.


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 No.7204 [Reply]

Hey Leftychads
Whatcha readin?
Pic related is the import shipment I just received. Probably going to read the Greene book first since I'm in a springtime lull before I start summer projects. What about u.
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 No.7217

>>7215
No need to be upset anon, I was just curious. After all, this thread is about what books we're reading.
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 No.7888

>>7204
The three body problem is amazing! Best scifi series I've read. I just finished the second book in the series, The Dark Forest and it was great. I can highly recommend this, I couldn't put it down.
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 No.7889

>>7888
Yeah such a wild ride.
I want to second this epic book recommendation.
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 No.7968

>>7888
Isn't one of the main plot points shitting on the Cultural Revolution? I should read it before screeching I guess but the clips from the adaptation that I've seen might as well be from Prager U and I do wonder if it gets the love it does simply because it's from le China.
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 No.7970

>>7968
I think people liked it because the 'high concept science fiction porn' is just amazing and the characters are very good.

The main theme in those books is the dark-forest solution to the Fermi paradox. (We can't see any signs of aliens because everybody in the universe is hiding). All the aliens think like ultra neocons, interstellar diplomacy doesn't exist and the way to be safe is to exterminate rival species or hide from extermination. That's a very myopic outlook, and could be considered reactionary. Dark Forest is not realistic but it is how some people think.

In my humble opinion the cultural revolution was a mistake, the goals were honorable but the implementation was a total crap-shoot. The critique of the cultural revolution in these books is slightly anti-communist, yes, but it is not too bad, it will not spoil your enjoyment of it. It is not a main plot point, 90% of the books is just exploration of cool scifi ideas.

One of the political themes is how technologically less advanced humans try to cope with more advanced aliens that want to destroy humanity. It reflects how many people in the world felt about the military interventions of the United states. The aliens even say that humans are bugs, which mirrors US propaganda from the cold war that depicted Chinese people as an insect colony.

The author has a philosophy related to Daoism and Taoism that teaches indifference to the suffering of others. I did not like that but he is not forcing it on you, his writing style is the opposite of Ayn Rand's. (She is trying to force the reader to see the world her way in a very obnoxious way)

<what else can be said

The science was very well researched for the time of release, but since then some of the predictions have been refuted.
The secondary theme in those books is the idea that civilizations are trial and error.
The ending of the third book is lame.
Post too long. Click here to view the full text.


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 No.6993 [Reply]

>All emotions come from within.

You can't always control the external words, but you can control your emotional response to it. Focus on what you can control - namely, yourself. Conversely, if you can control someone else's emotions, you control them. Maintain emotional independence at all costs.

>Bravery and courage are the most important virtues.


Courage isn't absence of fear. Rather, it is action in the face of fear. Most of your problems would be solved if you'd be less of a pussy.

>Develop a bias toward action.


With limited exception, passivity will get you nowhere. Action and movement, on the other hand, will grant you the ability to overcome obstacles. You are not your feelings. You are no your thoughts. You are what you do. Pour energy into taking action on the things you can control. Stop talking or caring so much about things outside your control. The former makes you stronger and more capable. The latter makes you weak and a victim.

>The end or goal doesn't matter as much as practice.


A person who strongly desires to be fit but never exercises won't get fit. Conversely, a person with no particular goal yet who nonetheless exercises daily will reap the reward of fitness.
Post too long. Click here to view the full text.
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 No.7002

>>7001
>>7001
Aren't we just all coping through capitalism?
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 No.7003

File: 1663534577521.jpg ( 9.56 KB , 383x256 , s-zizek.jpg )

>>7002
You're right anon, and communism is the ultimate cope
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 No.7004

>>7001
'nations are born stoic and die epicurean'

- Comrade Will Durant
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 No.7964

>Comfort is the enemy.

>Comfort breeds weakeness. Contentment breeds decay. Look at obstacles as a means toward growth, and embrace discomfort. It is only through being challenged and facing difficulty that one is able to develop in a positive way.


Ah yes, the guilt tripping against contentment.
"Real men never rest, they always seek more".

That kind of mentality is what leads to burnout after doing the hedonic treadmill.
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 No.7965

Stoicism is just the male version of "empathy".
Also, real stoics are flat-affect autists


File: 1739074967128.jpg ( 2.17 MB , 1920x1080 , 1652042902119.jpg )

 No.7919 [Reply]

>Degrees are fucking worthless—limp dick energy.
>Jobs that needed high school now want degrees because employers are lazy fucks.
>Student debt piles up like a cum rag, and you’re stuck paying for useless paper.
>Graduates flip burgers with philosophy degrees because nobody gives a shit.
>Employers don’t care about skills—just flash your overpriced diploma like a stripper’s ass.
>Colleges are diploma mills, churning out degrees like a cheap whore.
>Poor kids get fucked—can’t afford the golden ticket to a “real job.”
>Degrees mean nothing when every idiot has one.
>Innovation dies because everyone’s chasing credentials instead of doing cool shit.
>Job market’s a circus—need a master’s to answer phones like a trained monkey.
>Trades get ignored because society thinks you’re a loser without a degree.
>People waste years in college to check a box for some corporate dickhead.
>Employers want PhDs for jobs that pay less than a stripper’s tip jar.
>System’s a pyramid scheme—colleges win, you get fucked.
Society says you’re worthless without a degree, even if you’re talented as fuck.
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 No.7924

is anything that OP said actually true?
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 No.7949

>>7924
If OP is lying, why are so many college educated people working dead end jobs?
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 No.7950

File: 1748054668785.jpg ( 78.38 KB , 620x452 , doofy.jpg )

>not a book
>not educational
>just some imageboard poster's banal 2008 rant
>no insights
>complete cluelessness about why capitalism maintains an unemployment rate above minimum
>"education is paywalled"
>actively avoids posting anything of educational value for free which could bypass this, and instead demands attention for a trite, half-assed take from 20 years ago
>"hey everybody, look at my bold take"
>le school bad
>"debate me, protip u can't"
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 No.7951

>>7950
I mean he's got a point about degrees, we probably should have gone with radian angular measurements.
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 No.7962

>>7949
i dont know. doesnt mean OP is telling the truth. or lying.


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 No.5204 [Reply]

Did the Renaissance change art only for the better?

For example, are there any negative things to say about the way music evolved during that period?

All I hear and read about Renaissance art (hell, anything to do with the period, for that matter) are positive things or at least it's talked about in a positive light. Zero criticisms of it whatsoever.
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 No.5206

Kant and Heidegger critique Renaissance philosophy if that’s something you’re looking for
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 No.7932

>>5206
I'm years late here, but what were their critiques?
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 No.7933

>>7932
The Renaissance is the boot-loader for the enlightenment and modernity. Heidegger complains that it is weakening feudal and theocratic power. He doesn't say like that of course.

No clue what Kant said.


File: 1608528382477.jpg ( 398 KB , 1947x1947 , 115dcb14eb3c79294b4cd81696….jpg )

 No.4317 [Reply]

/edu/ what are some resources that you've used or know of to help newbies learn to organise?

Obviously "Just join local X to get experience", but just doing prior reading.

MLs, Anarkiddies, Syndies, etc. All sources and styles welcome.

Just trying to build a little portfolio to read and share.
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 No.4320

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 No.4321

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 No.4322

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 No.4323

File: 1608528383033.png ( 222.65 KB , 500x375 , a cute.png )

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 No.7930

Hey comrades, of these which is the best for more militant organizing? Thanks!


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 No.4385 [Reply]

Any enthusiasts of it on the board? I have read a good chunk of Andrew Kliman's Reclaiming Marx's Capital, but I admit that it mostly clears the deck of red herrings rather than makes an argument for a rigorous mathematical formulation of marxist economics.

In particular it does explicitly formulate how the tprf leads to recurring recessions (directly or indirectly).

I have an electronic copy of the pic book but haven't read it yet.
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 No.4386

*it does NOT explicitly formulate
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 No.7925

Can you please give me a copy of the book so I can read it?

I am not some kind of enthusiast TSSI guru but I do want to get into it.

There was this test done at one point on predicting prices and the TSSI outperformed both the subjective tov and marxist ltv version of theauthor's.
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 No.7926

File: 1739546193611.jpg ( 131.05 KB , 307x475 , The Long Depression.jpg )

>In particular it does not explicitly formulate how the trpf leads to recurring recessions (directly or indirectly).
Michael Roberts covers this extensively. Give this a read.


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